The lesson of Newcomb's paradox
In: Synthese: an international journal for epistemology, methodology and philosophy of science, Band 190, Heft 9, S. 1637-1646
ISSN: 1573-0964
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In: Synthese: an international journal for epistemology, methodology and philosophy of science, Band 190, Heft 9, S. 1637-1646
ISSN: 1573-0964
In: Journal of social computing: JSC, Band 3, Heft 1, S. 1-17
ISSN: 2688-5255
In: Intelligent Systems Reference Library 28
Prescriptive Bayesian decision making has reached a high level of maturity and is well-supported algorithmically. However, experimental data shows that real decision makers choose such Bayes-optimal decisions surprisingly infrequently, often making decisions that are badly sub-optimal. So prevalent is such imperfect decision-making that it should be accepted as an inherent feature of real decision makers living within interacting societies. To date such societies have been investigated from an economic and gametheoretic perspective, and even to a degree from a physics perspective. However, lit